Total neoadjuvant therapy versus chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: Bayesian network meta-analysis

Abstract Background Total neoadjuvant therapy is a promising treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer, utilizing either short-course radiotherapy or long-course chemoradiotherapy, but their relative efficacy remains unclear. The aim of this Bayesian network meta-analysis was to investigate clinical outcomes amongst patients receiving total neoadjuvant therapy with short-course radiotherapy or long-course chemoradiotherapy, and those receiving long-course chemoradiotherapy alone. Methods A systematic literature search was performed. All studies that compared at least two of these three treatments for locally advanced rectal cancer were included. The primary endpoint was the pathological complete response rate, and survival outcomes were adopted as secondary outcomes. Results Thirty cohorts were included. Compared with long-course chemoradiotherapy, both total neoadjuvant therapy with long-course chemoradiotherapy (OR 1.78, 95 per cent c.i. 1.43 to 2.26) and total neoadjuvant therapy with short-course radiotherapy (OR 1.75, 95 per cent c.i. 1.23 to 2.50) improved the pathological complete response rate. Similar benefits were observed in the sensitivity and subgroup analyses, except for short-course radiotherapy with one to two cycles of chemotherapy. No significant differences in survival outcomes were found amongst the three treatments. Long-course chemoradiotherapy with consolidation chemotherapy (HR 0.44, 95 per cent c.i. 0.20 to 0.99) exhibited higher disease-free survival than long-course chemoradiotherapy alone. Conclusion Compared with long-course chemoradiotherapy, both short-course radiotherapy with greater than or equal to three cycles of chemotherapy and total neoadjuvant therapy with long-course chemoradiotherapy can improve the pathological complete response rate, and long-course chemoradiotherapy with consolidation chemotherapy may lead to a marginal benefit in disease-free survival. The pathological complete response rate and survival outcomes are similar for total neoadjuvant therapy with short-course radiotherapy or long-course chemoradiotherapy.