HIPPO signaling-related signature for predicting prognosis and therapeutic response in gastric cancer

Background: Gastric cancer (GC) is a multifactorial progressive disease with high mortality and heterogeneous prognosis. Effective prognostic biomarkers for GC were critically needed. Hippo signaling pathway is one of the critical mechanisms regulating the occurrence and development of GC, and has potential clinical application value for the prognosis and treatment of GC patients. However, there is no effective signature based on Hippo signaling pathway-related genes (HSPRGs) to predict the prognosis and treatment response of GC patients. Our study aimed to build a HSPRGs signature and explore its performance in improving prognostic assessment and drug therapeutic response in GC. Methods: Based on gene expression profiles obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, we identified differentially expressed HSPRGs and conducted univariate and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis to construct a multigene risk signature. Subsequently, the Kaplan-Meier curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were performed to evaluate the predictive value of the risk signature in both training and validation cohort. Furthermore, we carried out univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis to investigate the independent prognostic factors and establish a predictive nomogram. The enriched signaling pathways in risk signature were analyzed by gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). Tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) and drug sensitivity analysis were performed to depict therapeutic response in GC. Results: In total, 38 differentially expressed HSPRGs were identified, and final four genes (DLG3, TGFB3, TGFBR1, FZD6) were incorporated to build the signature. The ROC curve with average 1-, 3-, and 5-year areas under the curve (AUC) equal to .609, .634, and .639. Clinical ROC curve revealed that risk signature was superior to other clinicopathological factors in predicting prognosis. Calibration curves and C-index (.655) of nomogram showed excellent consistency. Besides, in the immunotherapy analysis, exclusion (p < 2.22 × 10-16) and microsatellite instability (p = .0058) performed significantly differences. Finally, our results suggested that patients in the high-risk group were more sensitive to specific chemotherapeutic agents. Conclusion: Results support the hypothesis that Hippo-related signature is a novel prognostic biomarker and predictor, which could help optimize GC prognostic stratification and inform clinical medication decisions.