风险厌恶(心理学)
决策者
利润(经济学)
树篱
经济
存货理论
微观经济学
报童模式
指数效用
时间范围
最优决策
计算机科学
期望效用假设
运筹学
精算学
计量经济学
库存控制
业务
金融经济学
财务
供应链
运营管理
数学
营销
人工智能
生物
决策树
生态学
作者
Xin Chen,Melvyn Sim,David Simchi‐Levi,Peng Sun
出处
期刊:Operations Research
[Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
日期:2007-10-01
卷期号:55 (5): 828-842
被引量:366
标识
DOI:10.1287/opre.1070.0429
摘要
Traditional inventory models focus on risk-neutral decision makers, i.e., characterizing replenishment strategies that maximize expected total profit, or equivalently, minimize expected total cost over a planning horizon. In this paper, we propose a framework for incorporating risk aversion in multiperiod inventory models as well as multiperiod models that coordinate inventory and pricing strategies. We show that the structure of the optimal policy for a decision maker with exponential utility functions is almost identical to the structure of the optimal risk-neutral inventory (and pricing) policies. These structural results are extended to models in which the decision maker has access to a (partially) complete financial market and can hedge its operational risk through trading financial securities. Computational results demonstrate that the optimal policy is relatively insensitive to small changes in the decision-maker's level of risk aversion.
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