经济
格兰杰因果关系
能源消耗
温室气体
消费(社会学)
自然资源经济学
中国
宏观经济学
计量经济学
地理
工程类
电气工程
生物
社会学
社会科学
考古
生态学
作者
Xingping Zhang,Xiaomei Cheng
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.05.011
摘要
This paper investigates the existence and direction of Granger causality between economic growth, energy consumption, and carbon emissions in China, applying a multivariate model of economic growth, energy use, carbon emissions, capital and urban population. Empirical results for China over the period 1960–2007 suggest a unidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to energy consumption, and a unidirectional Granger causality running from energy consumption to carbon emissions in the long run. Evidence shows that neither carbon emissions nor energy consumption leads economic growth. Therefore, the government of China can purse conservative energy policy and carbon emissions reduction policy in the long run without impeding economic growth.
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