白天
速度限制
Probit模型
统计
有序概率单位
撞车
卡车
毒物控制
环境科学
运输工程
数学
工程类
计算机科学
大气科学
医学
汽车工程
环境卫生
地质学
程序设计语言
作者
Renteng Yuan,Qiaojun Xiang,Yan Huang,Xin Gu
标识
DOI:10.1139/cjce-2023-0043
摘要
This study investigates the differences in the factors affecting the injury severity of speeding-related crashes occurring in the daytime and nighttime. Two log-likelihood ratio tests are conducted to validate whether speeding-related crashes classified by daytime and nighttime should be modeled separately. The result proves that separate modeling is necessary. Two correlated random parameter order probit models with heterogeneity in means are conducted using the data collected from 2018 to 2020 in the United States. Model estimation results show that urban areas, speed limits, and young and older drivers are temporal instability. Angle crashes, head-on crashes, intersections, downhill, exceeding the speed limit, drunk driving, and motorcycles are statistically significant in both models with an increased crash severity. Interaction and heterogeneity effects between random parameters are also reported. For instance, large trucks driving above the speed limit are more likely to increase the probability of severe injury.
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