Modeling an evaluation of the efficacy of the novel neuroanalgesic drug mirogabalin for diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain and postherpetic neuralgia therapy

Diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain (DPNP) and postherpetic neuralgia (PHN) are challenging and often intractable complex medical conditions, with a substantial impact on the quality of life. Mirogabalin, a novel voltage-gated Ca2+ channel α2δ ligand, was approved for the indication of DPNP and PHN. However, the time course of effects has not yet been clarified.We aimed to establish pharmacodynamic and placebo effect models of mirogabalin and pregabalin in DPNP and PHN, and to quantitatively compare the efficacy characteristics (maximum efficacy, onset time, and other pharmacodynamic parameters) and safety of mirogabalin and pregabalin. Public databases were comprehensively searched for randomized placebo-controlled clinical trials. A model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) was developed to describe the time course of drug efficacy and placebo effects. Adverse events were compared using a fixed-effects meta-analysis. Sixteen studies including 5,147 participants were eligible for this study. The placebo effect was relatively high and gradually increased with time, and it required at least eight weeks to reach a plateau. The pharmacodynamic model revealed that the maximum pure efficacy for mirogabalin and pregabalin was approximately -7.85% and -8.86%, respectively; the efficacy of mirogabalin to relieve DPNP and PHN was not superior to that of pregabalin, and both drugs had similar safety. While the rate constant of the onset rate of pregabalin was approximately thrice as high as that of mirogabalin. In addition, the baseline level of pain was an important factor affecting pregabalin efficacy. These findings are helpful in evaluating the clinical extension value of mirogabalin. They suggest that the high placebo effect and the baseline level of pain should be considered when grouping patients in future research and development of voltage-gated Ca2+ channel neuroanalgesic.