Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as an early marker of outcomes in patients with recurrent oral squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab

The immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI), nivolumab, has revolutionised the treatment of recurrent and metastatic oral cancer. However, the response rate to ICIs remains low, and identifying predictors of nivolumab response is critical. Although the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been suggested as a predictive marker of nivolumab response in patients with various types of cancer, its utility in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) has not been elucidated. In this retrospective multicentre cohort study, we evaluated the association between NLR and outcome of nivolumab treatment in 64 patients with OSCC treated between 2017 and 2020. The objective response and disease control rates were 25.1% and 32.9%, respectively. The rates for complete and partial responses were 15.7% (10/64) and 9.4% (6/64), respectively; stable and progressive disease rates were 7.8% (5/64) and 67.1% (43/64), respectively. Complete and partial responses were classified as responders, and stable and progressive diseases were classified as non-responders. The median (range) pre-treatment NLR among responders was 4.3 (2.8-8.0), which decreased to 4.0 (2.6-6.3) after nivolumab treatment, and the median (range) pre-treatment NLR among non-responders was 5.1 (2.7-7.9), which increased to 6.4 (4.0-14.0) with tumour growth. Moreover, overall survival was significantly worse in the group with a higher post-treatment NLR (≥5) than in the group with a lower NLR (<5). Patients with a post-treatment NLR of ≥6 had worse outcomes for salvage chemotherapy following nivolumab treatment. Thus, post-treatment NLR could be a useful marker for predicting the response to nivolumab treatment or salvage chemotherapy in patients with OSCC.