蒙特卡罗方法
计量经济学
跳跃
统计的
滞后
数学
统计
差异(会计)
经济
物理
量子力学
会计
标识
DOI:10.1093/jjfinec/nbi025
摘要
We examine tests for jumps based on recent asymptotic results; we interpret the tests as Hausman-type tests. Monte Carlo evidence suggests that the daily ratio z-statistic has appropriate size, good power, and good jump detection capabilities revealed by the confusion matrix comprised of jump classification probabilities. We identify a pitfall in applying the asymptotic approximation over an entire sample. Theoretical and Monte Carlo analysis indicates that microstructure noise biases the tests against detecting jumps, and that a simple lagging strategy corrects the bias. Empirical work documents evidence for jumps that account for 7% of stock market price variance.
科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI