数学
中央歧管
流行病模型
跨临界分岔
特征向量
应用数学
非线性系统
平稳分布
霍普夫分叉
鞍点
分叉
消光(光学矿物学)
博格达诺夫-塔肯分岔
鞍结分岔
平衡点
数学分析
马尔可夫链
统计
物理
人口
几何学
人口学
量子力学
社会学
光学
微分方程
作者
Pritam Saha,Bapin Mondal,Uttam Ghosh
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113775
摘要
This manuscript deals with an epidemic model with partial immunity having nonlinear incidence and saturated treatment. Positivity and boundedness of the solutions have been established here. We discuss local stability of all equilibria. The proposed system experiences various types of bifurcations, namely Transcritical, Saddle–node, Hopf, and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation of co-dimension 2. The system is reduced to a two-dimensional system using center manifold theorem to deduce normal form for Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation of co-dimension 2 when two eigenvalues at the endemic equilibrium point becomes zero. Whether deterministic model overestimates the condition for disease propagation, to observe this we also analysis stochastic model. We derive the condition for extinction, persistence in mean and stationary distribution. All theoretical findings are justified by numerical simulations. Finally, to check validity of the model, we fit it with real reported influenza data of Canada.
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