作者
Cindy Q. Tang,Tetsuya Matsui,Haruka Ohashi,Yi-Fei Dong,Arata Momohara,Sonia Herrando‐Moraira,Shenhua Qian,Yongchuan Yang,Masahiko Ohsawa,Hong Truong Luu,Paul J. Grote,Pavel V. Krestov,Ben A. LePage,M. J. A. Werger,Kevin Robertson,Carsten Hobohm,Chongyun Wang,Ming-Chun Peng,Xi Chen,Huan‐Chong Wang,Wenhua Su,Rui Zhou,Shuaifeng Li,Lei He,Kai Yan,Ming‐Yuan Zhu,Jun Hu,Ruo-Han Yang,Wang-Jun Li,Mizuki Tomita,Zhaolu Wu,Hai-Zhong Yan,Guangfei Zhang,Hai He,Sirong Yi,Hede Gong,Kun Song,Song Ding,Xiaoshuang Li,Zhiying Zhang,Peng-Bin Han,Liqin Shen,Diao-Shun Huang,Kang Luo,Jordi López‐Pujol
摘要
Today East Asia harbors many "relict" plant species whose ranges were much larger during the Paleogene-Neogene and earlier. The ecological and climatic conditions suitable for these relict species have not been identified. Here, we map the abundance and distribution patterns of relict species, showing high abundance in the humid subtropical/warm-temperate forest regions. We further use Ecological Niche Modeling to show that these patterns align with maps of climate refugia, and we predict species' chances of persistence given the future climatic changes expected for East Asia. By 2070, potentially suitable areas with high richness of relict species will decrease, although the areas as a whole will probably expand. We identify areas in southwestern China and northern Vietnam as long-term climatically stable refugia likely to preserve ancient lineages, highlighting areas that could be prioritized for conservation of such species.