计量经济学
统计的
财政部
蒙特卡罗方法
不连续性分类
经济
金融危机
统计
数学
地理
宏观经济学
数学分析
考古
作者
Mardi Dungey,J. E. Holloway,Abdullah Yalaman,Wenying Yao
标识
DOI:10.1080/14697688.2022.2027504
摘要
Recent advances in high-frequency financial econometrics enable us to characterize which components of the data generating processes change in crisis, and which do not. This paper introduces a new statistic which captures large discontinuities in the composition of a given price series. Monte Carlo simulations suggest that this statistic is useful in characterizing the tail behavior across different sample periods. An application to US Treasury market provides evidence consistent with identifying periods of stress via flight-to-cash behavior which results in increased abrupt price falls at the short end of the term structure and decreased negative price jumps at the long end.
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