Impacts of record-breaking compound heatwave and drought events in 2022 China on vegetation growth

环境科学 气候学 植被(病理学) 气候变化 归一化差异植被指数 降水 中国 高原(数学) 自然地理学 地理 地质学 气象学 海洋学 医学 考古 病理 数学分析 数学
作者
Wenfang Xu,Wenping Yuan,Donghai Wu,Yao Zhang,Ruoque Shen,Xiaosheng Xia,Philippe Ciais,Juxiu Liu
出处
期刊:Agricultural and Forest Meteorology [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:344: 109799-109799 被引量:43
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109799
摘要

In the summer of 2022, China experienced a series of record-breaking heatwaves and unprecedented low rainfall-induced droughts across much of China's regions. Using a reanalysis of the meteorological dataset, we confirmed that the 2022 concurrent heatwaves in China were more frequent and widespread than in the past (1979–2021). The heatwaves presented the greatest record for heatwave count, heatwave days, and cumulative intensity, especially in the Yangtze River basin, Tibetan Plateau, and Northern China. Moreover, heatwaves often occur with concurrent droughts. We found heatwaves and droughts reduced vegetation growth over half of the vegetated areas in China, represented by the negative detrended anomalies of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI; 66.89 %), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI; 58.68 %), and contiguous solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (CSIF; 56.47 %). More importantly, nearly half of the land surface of China (48.28 %) in 2022 summer experienced warmer and drier climate conditions than in the historical period (1979–2021). As a result, 72.9 % of vegetation stress anomalies (i.e., negative detrended anomalies of vegetation indices) in those areas can be attributed to warmer and drier climate (20.3 %), individual extreme dry climate (2.0 %), individual extreme warm climate (43.1 %), and compound extreme events combining the driest and warmest conditions (7.5 %), respectively. These findings implied that heatwaves were more critical in limiting vegetation growth than drought this summer. Using a large ensemble model (i.e., CanESM5), we estimated the probability of exceeding the 2022 summer extreme daily maximum temperature (Tmax) in China and its subregions in the future climate. Generally, heat extremes greater than the observed record (i.e., 2022) are found in China every decade, with models indicating a likelihood of 0.42 % to 85.69 % from 2023–2032 to 2083–2092 in the SSP585 future scenario. Our study provides a timely and essential evaluation of the impacts of compound heatwaves and droughts on plant growth.
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