Resource efficient PV power forecasting: Transductive transfer learning based hybrid deep learning model for smart grid in Industry 5.0

计算机科学 超参数 人工智能 超参数优化 光伏系统 机器学习 深度学习 学习迁移 卷积神经网络 支持向量机 工程类 电气工程
作者
Umer Amir Khan,Noman Mujeeb Khan,Muhammad Hamza Zafar
出处
期刊:Energy Conversion And Management: X [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:20: 100486-100486 被引量:12
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.ecmx.2023.100486
摘要

This paper presents an innovative approach for enhancing power output forecasting of Photovoltaic (PV) power plants in dynamic environmental conditions using a Hybrid Deep Learning Model (DLM). The hybrid DLM employs a synergy of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and Bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM), effectively capturing spatial and temporal dependencies within weather data crucial for accurate predictions. To optimize the DLM's performance efficiently, a unique Kepler Optimization Algorithm (KOA) is introduced for hyperparameter tuning, drawing inspiration from Kepler's laws of planetary motion. By leveraging KOA, the DLM attains optimal hyperparameter configurations, elevating power output prediction precision. Additionally, this study integrates Transductive Transfer Learning (TTL) with the deep learning models to enhance resource efficiency. By leveraging knowledge gained from previously learned tasks, TTL enables the DLM to improve its forecasting capabilities while minimizing resource utilization. Datasets encompassing environmental parameters and PV plant-generated power across diverse sites are employed for DLM training and testing. Three hybrid models, amalgamating KOA, CNN, LSTM, and Bi-LSTM techniques, are introduced and evaluated. Comparative assessment of these models across distinct PV sites yields insightful observations. Performance evaluation, focused on short-term PV power forecasting, underscores the hybrid DLM's superiority over individual CNN and LSTM models. This hybrid approach achieves remarkable accuracy and resilience in predicting power output under varying weather conditions, showcasing its potential for efficient PV power plant management.

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