Application of aMAP score to assess the risk of hepatocarciongenesis in population of chronic liver disease in primary hospitals

Objective: The aMAP score is a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk prediction model based on an international cooperative cohort, which can be applied to various liver diseases. The aim of this study is to use the aMAP score to stratify the risk of HCC in patients with chronic liver disease (combined or non-combined metabolic diseases) admitted to People's Hospital of Yudu County, Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province, in order to guide personalized HCC screening. Methods: The demographic information, laboratory test results (platelets, albumin, and total bilirubin) and combined disease information of patients with chronic liver disease who were admitted to People's Hospital of Yudu from January 2016 to December 2020 were collected, and the aMAP score was calculated to stratify HCC risk in this population. Results: A total of 3629 cases with chronic liver disease were included in the analysis, including 3 452 (95.1%) cases with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, 177 (4.9%) cases with fatty liver, and 22 (0.6%) cases with HBV infection and fatty liver. There were 2 679 (73.8%) male and the median age was 44 (35, 54). In the overall population, low, medium and high risk of HCC accounted for 52.6%, 29.0%, and 18.4% respectively. In the HBV-infected population, the proportion of high risk of HCC was significantly higher than that of fatty liver (18.9% vs. 9.6%, P = 0.001). The proportion of chronic liver disease patients with combined hypertension or diabetes was significantly higher than that of those with non-combined metabolic diseases (combined hypertension: 32.3% vs. 17.9%, P < 0.001; combined diabetes: 36.5% vs. 18.1%, P < 0.001). Moreover, the proportion of high-risk population with two metabolic diseases was significantly higher than that with one and no metabolic diseases (40.9% vs. 31.8% vs. 17.7%, P < 0.001). Conclusion: The aMAP score can be used as a simple tool for HCC screening and management of chronic liver disease in primary hospitals, and it is helpful to improve the personalized follow-up management system of chronic liver disease population. Chronic liver disease patients with metabolic diseases have a higher risk of HCC, and people with high risk of HCC should be given special priority in follow-up visits, so as to improve the rate of HCC early diagnosis and reduce the mortality rate.