A MRI-based radiomics model predicting radiation-induced temporal lobe injury in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

ObjectivesTo develop and validate a radiomics-based model for predicting radiation-induced temporal lobe injury (RTLI) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) by pretreatment MRI of the temporal lobe.MethodsA total of 216 patients with diagnosed NPC were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were randomly allocated to the training (n = 136) and the validation cohort (n = 80). Radiomics features were extracted from pretreatment contrast-enhanced T1- or fat-suppressed T2 weighted MRI. A radiomics signature was generated by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm, Pearson correlation analysis, and univariable logistic analysis. Clinical features were selected with logistic regression analysis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to develop three models for RTLI prediction in the training cohort: namely radiomics signature, clinical variables, and clinical-radiomics parameters. A radiomics nomogram was used and assessed with respect to calibration, discrimination, reclassification, and clinical application.ResultsThe radiomics signature, composed of two radiomics features, was significantly associated with RTLI. The proposed radiomics model demonstrated favorable discrimination in both the training (AUC, 0.89) and the validation cohort (AUC, 0.92), outperforming the clinical prediction model (p < 0.05). Combining radiomics and clinical features, higher AUCs were achieved (AUC, 0.93 and 0.95), as well as a better calibration and improved accuracy of the prediction of RTLI. The clinical-radiomics model showed also excellent performance in predicting RTLI in different clinical-pathologic subgroups.ConclusionA radiomics model derived from pretreatment MRI of the temporal lobe showed persuasive performance for predicting radiation-induced temporal lobe injury in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.Key Points • Radiomics features from pretreatment MRI are associated with radiation-induced temporal lobe injury in nasopharyngeal carcinoma. • The radiomics model shows better predictive performance than a clinical model and was similar to a clinical-radiomics model. • A clinical-radiomics model shows excellent performance in the prediction of radiation-induced temporal lobe injury in different clinical-pathologic subgroups.