医学
慢性阻塞性肺病
恶化
比例危险模型
危险系数
内科学
入射(几何)
风险因素
混淆
慢性阻塞性肺病加重期
队列研究
急诊医学
重症监护医学
置信区间
慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重期
光学
物理
作者
Hana Müllerová,Diego J. Maselli,Nicholas Locantore,Jørgen Vestbo,John R. Hurst,Jadwiga A. Wedzicha,Per Bakke,Àlvar Agustí,Antonio Anzueto
出处
期刊:Chest
[Elsevier]
日期:2015-04-01
卷期号:147 (4): 999-1007
被引量:267
标识
DOI:10.1378/chest.14-0655
摘要
Exacerbations of COPD requiring hospital admission have important clinical and societal implications. We sought to investigate the incidence, recurrence, risk factors, and mortality of patients with COPD exacerbations requiring hospital admission compared with those without hospital admission during 3-year follow-up. Patients with COPD (N = 2,138) were identified from the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) observational cohort.An analysis of time to first event of hospital admission was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard regression adjusting for possible confounders.Of the 2,138 patients, 670 (31%) reported a total of 1,452 COPD exacerbations requiring hospital admission during the study period; 313 patients (15%) reported multiple events. A prior history of exacerbation of COPD requiring hospital admission was the factor associated with the highest risk of a new hospitalization for exacerbation (hazard ratio, 2.71; 95% CI, 2.24-3.29; P < .001). Other risk factors included more severe airflow limitation, poorer health status, older age, radiologic evidence of emphysema, and higher WBC count. Having been hospitalized for exacerbation significantly increased the risk of mortality (P < .001).Exacerbations of COPD requiring hospital admission occur across all stages of airflow limitation and are a significant prognostic factor of reduced survival across all COPD stages. Patients with COPD at a high risk for hospitalization can be identified by their past history for similar events, and other factors, including the severity of airflow limitation, poor health status, age, presence of emphysema, and leukocytosis.ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT00292552; URL: www.clinicaltrials.gov.
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