Preoperative CT Radiomics Nomogram for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Rationale and Objectives

This study aims to develop and validate a nomogram integrating clinical-CT and radiomic features for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with stage I non‑small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Materials and Methods

This retrospective study analyzed 188 cases of stage I NSCLC (63 MVI positives and 125 negatives), which were randomly assigned to training (n = 133) and validation cohorts (n = 55) at a ratio of 7:3. Preoperative non-contrast and contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) images were used to analyze computed tomography (CT) features and extract radiomics features. The student's t-test, the Mann–Whitney-U test, the Pearson correlation, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and multivariable logistic analysis were used to select the significant CT and radiomics features. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to build the clinical-CT, radiomics, and integrated models. The predictive performances were evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic curve and compared with the DeLong test. The integrated nomogram was analyzed regarding discrimination, calibration, and clinical significance.

Results

The rad-score was developed with one shape and four textural features. The integrated nomogram incorporating radiomics score, spiculation, and the number of tumor-related vessels (TVN) demonstrated better predictive efficacy than the radiomics and clinical-CT models in the training cohort (area under the curve [AUC], 0.893 vs 0.853 and 0.828, and p = 0.043 and 0.027, respectively) and validation cohort (AUC, 0.887 vs 0.878 and 0.786, and p = 0.761 and 0.043, respectively). The nomogram also demonstrated good calibration and clinical usefulness.

Conclusion

The radiomics nomogram integrating the radiomics with clinical-CT features demonstrated good performance in predicting MVI status in stage I NSCLC. The nomogram may be a useful tool for physicians in improving personalized management of stage I NSCLC.