Application of machine learning techniques to build digital twins for long train dynamics simulations

The paper shows the feasibility of building closed-form and fast-to-evaluate surrogate models via supervised kernel-based machine learning regressions behaving as digital twins for computationally expensive multibody simulations. The aforementioned surrogate models are adopted to predict the railway vehicle dynamics safety indexes defined in the international standards, depending on the wheel-rail forces, directly from the results of longitudinal train dynamics simulations. The digital twin models are trained with the outputs of Simpack multibody simulations of a reference freight wagon, to which the in-train forces calculated by an in-house MATLAB longitudinal train dynamics simulator are applied. Two machine learning techniques are considered: the support vector machine and the least-squares support vector machine regressions. Both techniques ensure a good accuracy even with a limited number of training samples. The derivation of the surrogate models can strongly enhance the modelling capabilities of common longitudinal train dynamics simulators, that cannot evaluate the wheel-rail contact forces. At the same time, the method shown in the paper allows to strongly reduce the total computational times, as the evaluation of the closed-form surrogate models allows to effectively estimate the safety indexes with no need for computationally demanding multibody simulations.