Each Degree of Glucose Intolerance in Pregnancy Predicts Distinct Trajectories of β-Cell Function, Insulin Sensitivity, and Glycemia in the First 3 Years Postpartum

Glucose intolerance in pregnancy predicts an increased risk of future type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) that is proportional to the severity of antepartum dysglycemia (i.e., highest in women with gestational diabetes mellitus [GDM], followed by those with milder dysglycemia). However, the pathophysiologic changes driving this risk are not known. Thus, we evaluated the longitudinal changes in β-cell function, insulin sensitivity, and glycemia in the first 3 years postpartum after gestational dysglycemia.A total of 337 women underwent glucose challenge test (GCT) and oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in pregnancy, followed by repeat OGTT at 3 months, 1 year, and 3 years postpartum. The antepartum GCT/OGTT identified four gestational glucose tolerance groups: GDM (n = 105); gestational impaired glucose tolerance (GIGT; n = 60); abnormal GCT, followed by normal glucose tolerance (NGT) on the OGTT (abnormal GCT NGT; n = 96); and normal GCT with NGT (n = 76).At each of 3 months, 1 year, and 3 years postpartum, the prevalence of glucose intolerance increased from normal GCT NGT to abnormal GCT NGT to GIGT to GDM (all P < 0.001), whereas β-cell function, assessed by the Insulin Secretion-Sensitivity Index-2 (ISSI-2), and insulin sensitivity (Matsuda index), progressively decreased across the groups (all P < 0.002). Each group predicted distinct trajectories of ISSI-2, Matsuda index, and fasting and 2-h glucose (all P < 0.001). Notably, GDM, GIGT, and abnormal GCT NGT predicted varying rates of declining β-cell function and insulin sensitivity, as well as rising glycemia, compared with normal GCT NGT.Each degree of gestational glucose intolerance predicts distinct trajectories of β-cell function, insulin sensitivity, and glycemia in the first 3 years postpartum that drive their differential risk of future T2DM.