Thyroid Cytology and the Risk of Malignancy in Thyroid Nodules: Importance of Nuclear Atypia in Indeterminate Specimens

Fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology is the best test for malignancy in thyroid nodules. However, cytologic interpretation of FNA specimens is often difficult, especially in the presence of indeterminate microfollicular cytologic patterns, which are thought to suggest follicular neoplasm (adenoma or carcinoma). To assess the risk of malignancy associated with specific cytologic patterns, we correlated preoperative FNA cytologic patterns (n = 484 reports including repeat aspirations) with final histological diagnoses for 368 surgical thyroid specimens obtained during the period 1994-1998. The overall prevalence of malignancy in the surgical specimens was 31% (113 cancers, including 96 papillary and 9 follicular carcinomas). For nodules with benign FNA cytologic diagnoses of nodular goiter and chronic thyroiditis there was a low risk of malignancy (6/99, or 6.1%). Nodules with indeterminate cytologic patterns in the absence of nuclear atypia (i.e., microfollicles without nuclear atypia) had a similarly low malignancy risk (3/46, or 6.5%). In contrast, 31/52 nodules with cytologic nuclear atypia consistent with follicular neoplasm were malignant (60%), including specimens with or without microfollicular cytology. Nodules with frankly malignant cytologic patterns were almost invariably cancer (54/55), and cytologic diagnoses of papillary carcinoma were confirmed at surgery in all 49 cases. These results indicate that indeterminate microfollicular cytologic patterns in the absence of nuclear atypia are associated with a low risk of malignancy, at least in this series. This finding suggests that many nodules with such microfollicular cytology might be managed conservatively with observation. In contrast, cytologic nuclear atypia consistent with a follicular neoplasm confers a high risk of cancer. In addition, frankly malignant cytologic diagnoses, especially papillary carcinoma, are highly reliable, and thus may be used as a guide for planning surgery appropriate for thyroid cancer.