Conflict or Collaboration in the Arctic?

This case study is written from the perspective that members of a Strategic Analysis unit composed of experts in different fields in an Arctic Eight cyber intelligence office were tasked with determining how the Arctic is likely to evolve over the next 10 years, focusing in particular on the extent to which the Russians may exert dominance over the region – and to recommend what to do about it. The case study showcases how Foresight Structured Analytic Techniques (Key Drivers Generation™, Key Uncertainties Finder™, Multiple Scenarios Generation, Indicators, and the Opportunities Incubator™) could have been used by the team to address the challenge. The case study is based on true information, but the Strategic Analysis team is a fiction.