A two-step identification framework for building thermal dynamic based on high fluctuation performance data: A case of office with variable refrigerant flow system

Thermal dynamics model plays a crucial role of advanced control in the intelligent building. Grey box method is widely used in the modeling of building thermal dynamics based on the operation data of air-conditioner. The performance of direct-expansion (DX) system fluctuated severely during its operation, which leads to the difficulties in identification and evaluation of the building thermal model. In this paper, a two-step identification framework for second-order thermal resistance-capacity networks of building based on DX system data is proposed. A case study is conducted on an office building equipped with variable refrigerant flow system in Foshan, China. The results show that the proposed framework can identify the parameters rationally. The model achieves high accuracy for both indoor temperature (Mean absolute errors of 0.74°C) and cooling load prediction (Mean absolute errors of 4453.86W) in a short time interval of 10 minutes. Additionally, the best complexity of the grey-box model for case building and the data acquisition interval is determined. Finally, an improved set of evaluation metrics for thermal load evaluation is proposed and discussed.