报童模式
后悔
单峰
数学优化
计算机科学
经济订货量
概率分布
数理经济学
经济
数学
统计
供应链
机器学习
政治学
法学
作者
Georgia Perakis,Guillaume Roels
出处
期刊:Operations Research
[Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
日期:2008-02-01
卷期号:56 (1): 188-203
被引量:343
标识
DOI:10.1287/opre.1070.0486
摘要
Traditional stochastic inventory models assume full knowledge of the demand probability distribution. However, in practice, it is often difficult to completely characterize the demand distribution, especially in fast-changing markets. In this paper, we study the newsvendor problem with partial information about the demand distribution (e.g., mean, variance, symmetry, unimodality). In particular, we derive the order quantities that minimize the newsvendor's maximum regret of not acting optimally. Most of our solutions are tractable, which makes them attractive for practical application. Our analysis also generates insights into the choice of the demand distribution as an input to the newsvendor model. In particular, the distributions that maximize the entropy perform well under the regret criterion. Our approach can be extended to a variety of problems that require a robust but not conservative solution.
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