Magnetic Resonance Radiomics and Machine-learning Models: An Approach for Evaluating Tumor-stroma Ratio in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

To develop and validate a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based machine learning classifier for evaluating the tumor-stroma ratio (TSR) in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).In this retrospective study, 148 patients with PDAC underwent an MR scan and surgical resection. We used hematoxylin and eosin to quantify the TSR. For each patient, we extracted 1,409 radiomics features and reduced them using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression algorithm. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) classifier was developed using a training set comprising 110 consecutive patients, admitted between December 2016 and December 2017. The model was validated in 38 consecutive patients, admitted between January 2018 and April 2018. We determined the performance of the XGBoost classifier based on its discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility.A log-rank test revealed significantly longer survival in the TSR-low group. The prediction model displayed good discrimination in the training (area under the curve [AUC], 0.82) and validation set (AUC, 0.78). While the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the training set were 77.14%, 75.00%, 0.76%, 0.84%, and 0.65%, respectively, those for the validation set were 58.33%, 92.86%, 0.71%, 0.93%, and 0.57%, respectively.We developed an XGBoost classifier based on MRI radiomics features, a non-invasive prediction tool that can evaluate the TSR of patients with PDAC. Moreover, it will provide a basis for interstitial targeted therapy selection and monitoring.