International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening

假阳性悖论 乳腺摄影术 乳腺癌 接收机工作特性 假阳性和假阴性 人工智能 工作量 医学 乳腺癌筛查 边距(机器学习) 癌症 计算机科学 机器学习 医学物理学 内科学 操作系统
作者
Scott Mayer McKinney,Marcin Sieniek,Varun Godbole,Jonathan Godwin,Н. В. Антропова,Hutan Ashrafian,Trevor Back,Mary Chesus,Greg S. Corrado,Ara Darzi,Mozziyar Etemadi,Florencia Garcia-Vicente,Fiona J. Gilbert,Mark Halling‐Brown,Demis Hassabis,Sunny Jansen,Alan Karthikesalingam,Christopher Kelly,Dominic King,Joseph R. Ledsam
出处
期刊:Nature [Nature Portfolio]
卷期号:577 (7788): 89-94 被引量:2947
标识
DOI:10.1038/s41586-019-1799-6
摘要

Screening mammography aims to identify breast cancer at earlier stages of the disease, when treatment can be more successful1. Despite the existence of screening programmes worldwide, the interpretation of mammograms is affected by high rates of false positives and false negatives2. Here we present an artificial intelligence (AI) system that is capable of surpassing human experts in breast cancer prediction. To assess its performance in the clinical setting, we curated a large representative dataset from the UK and a large enriched dataset from the USA. We show an absolute reduction of 5.7% and 1.2% (USA and UK) in false positives and 9.4% and 2.7% in false negatives. We provide evidence of the ability of the system to generalize from the UK to the USA. In an independent study of six radiologists, the AI system outperformed all of the human readers: the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) for the AI system was greater than the AUC-ROC for the average radiologist by an absolute margin of 11.5%. We ran a simulation in which the AI system participated in the double-reading process that is used in the UK, and found that the AI system maintained non-inferior performance and reduced the workload of the second reader by 88%. This robust assessment of the AI system paves the way for clinical trials to improve the accuracy and efficiency of breast cancer screening. An artificial intelligence (AI) system performs as well as or better than radiologists at detecting breast cancer from mammograms, and using a combination of AI and human inputs could help to improve screening efficiency.
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