Thresholds and extent of temperature effects on maize yield differ in different grain-filling stages

Temperature is a vital environmental factor affecting grain filling and maize yield. The response of maize yield to temperature at different stages of grain filling, however, remains uncharacterized. This study used "Zhengdan 958" as the test material to analyze the high-temperature threshold and yield sensitivity of grain-filling in different periods without water stress by using the data from staging sowing experiments at agro-meteorological experimental stations in Hebi and Suzhou in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 2019 to 2022. The results demonstrated that: (1) the maximum temperature threshold was different in various periods of maize grain-filling in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, showing the early grain-filling period (EP) > the active grain-filling period (AP) > the late grain-filling period (LP). With the largest differences in temperature thresholds found in AP, the maximum temperature threshold of AP can better reflect the characteristics of grain filling rather than the whole filling period. (2) The heat of the grain-filling period can explain more than 80 % of the yield variation and affect the yield by influencing the number of days required to reach the maximum grain-filling rate (Vmaxd) and the duration of the active grain-filling period (DAP). (3) The growing degree days (GDD) is the most significant controlling factor affecting yield; however, the effect of heat degree days (HDD) cannot be ignored. The HDD and cumulative thresholds of HDD in the EP and AP of grain-filling can better reflect the effect of heat on yield. The accumulation thresholds of HDD at Hebi and Suzhou were 28.1 °C·d and 15.2 °C·d in the EP period, and 31.0 °C·d and 14.9 °C·d in the AP period, respectively. The results provide a basis for the precise identification of heat disasters during grain-filling and the scientific adjustment of sowing dates.