An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Digital Economy on Manufacturing Green and Low-Carbon Transformation under the Dual-Carbon Background in China

The deep integration of digital economy and green development has become an inevitable requirement and an important aid in achieving the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality and promoting high-quality economic development. At the same time, the manufacturing industry is the main sector of energy consumption and carbon emissions in China and the main force for achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. This paper constructs a mathematical model to measure the scale of the digital economy development and the efficiency of the green, low-carbon transformation of the manufacturing industry. It builds a panel data model to study the effect of the development of the digital economy on the green, low-carbon transformation of the manufacturing industry based on data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2016 to 2020. The results find that (1) there is a significant positive effect of the digital economy on the green, low-carbon transformation of the manufacturing industry, with an impact coefficient of 0.477, and this finding remains significant in the robustness test. (2) A further test of the mediating effect finds that the digital economy can drive the green, low-carbon transformation of the manufacturing industry by enhancing technological innovation, and it shows a partial mediating effect that accounts for 28% of the total effect. (3) In the regional heterogeneity analysis, it is found that the effect of the digital economy in promoting manufacturing transformation is more prominent in the central region, and the impact coefficients are 0.684, 0.806, 0.340, and 0.392 for the east, central, west, and northeast regions, respectively. This study can provide a theoretical basis and policy support for governments and enterprises.