Sink or Swim? A survival analysis of sport dropout in Australian youth swimmers

人口学 辍学(神经网络) 比例危险模型 危险系数 医学 竞赛(生物学) 队列 老年学 心理学 内科学 生物 置信区间 生态学 计算机科学 机器学习 社会学
作者
Kylie Moulds,Shaun Abbott,Johan Pion,Cecilia Brophy‐Williams,Mark Heathcote,Stephen Cobley
出处
期刊:Scandinavian Journal of Medicine & Science in Sports [Wiley]
卷期号:30 (11): 2222-2233 被引量:14
标识
DOI:10.1111/sms.13771
摘要

Objectives To examine long‐term participation and dropout rates in Australian youth swimming using survival analyses and to determine whether multiple individual, socio‐demographic, and competition‐related factors influenced dropout. Design Retrospective cohort study of registration and competitive performance data. Methods Part 1— Registration data from N = 17 161 female (n = 9400) and male (n = 7761) New South Wales (NSW) swimmers aged 10‐15 years (inclusive). Part 2— Competition level involvement in a subsample of female (n = 1011) and male (n = 811) swimmers, aged 12‐15 years, was also examined. To determine dropout rates and influential factors, Kaplan‐Meier survival analyses supplemented by Cox regression were used. Results (1) Kaplan‐Meier analyses identified median sustained participation rates of four years (95% CI = 3.93‐4.06), with 15.9% maintaining participation over 10 years. Cox regressions identified age‐group was associated with dropout ( P < .001), with a 184.9% higher Hazard Rate (HR) for 10‐ vs 15‐year‐olds. Residential proximity to major cities was associated with dropout ( P < .001), with urban swimmers reporting a 24.8% higher HR rate than rural swimmers. Sex and relative age were not associated with dropout. (2) The subsample median sustained participation was five years (95% CI = 4.79‐5.20), with 25.3% maintaining participation for ten years. Level of competition was associated ( P < .001), with an 86% higher HR when considering lower competition levels (ie, club/district v national). Conclusion In a large representative sample of swimmers, survival analyses identified age‐group, competition level, and city proximity were associated with increased swimming dropout rates.
最长约 10秒,即可获得该文献文件

科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI
更新
PDF的下载单位、IP信息已删除 (2025-6-4)

科研通是完全免费的文献互助平台,具备全网最快的应助速度,最高的求助完成率。 对每一个文献求助,科研通都将尽心尽力,给求助人一个满意的交代。
实时播报
子咸完成签到,获得积分10
刚刚
自然雁兰完成签到,获得积分10
刚刚
1秒前
qqqqqq应助段启瑞采纳,获得10
2秒前
LXXue发布了新的文献求助10
2秒前
wsws发布了新的文献求助10
3秒前
3秒前
5秒前
5秒前
6秒前
hua发布了新的文献求助10
6秒前
共享精神应助aixiaoming0503采纳,获得10
7秒前
7秒前
uuinn完成签到,获得积分10
8秒前
132132zl完成签到,获得积分10
9秒前
赘婿应助天真的紫青采纳,获得10
9秒前
图治完成签到,获得积分10
9秒前
10秒前
Yingling发布了新的文献求助10
10秒前
李金玉发布了新的文献求助10
11秒前
11秒前
李健的小迷弟应助LXXue采纳,获得10
12秒前
Ava应助熊猫文文采纳,获得10
12秒前
凯睿发布了新的文献求助10
13秒前
hyr发布了新的文献求助10
13秒前
wz发布了新的文献求助10
14秒前
16秒前
16秒前
kysl发布了新的文献求助20
17秒前
17秒前
dj完成签到,获得积分10
17秒前
17秒前
17秒前
18秒前
Ava应助1.1采纳,获得10
18秒前
橘枳完成签到 ,获得积分10
18秒前
18秒前
谷雨下完成签到,获得积分10
18秒前
门板完成签到,获得积分10
19秒前
19秒前
高分求助中
A new approach to the extrapolation of accelerated life test data 1000
Picture Books with Same-sex Parented Families: Unintentional Censorship 700
ACSM’s Guidelines for Exercise Testing and Prescription, 12th edition 500
Nucleophilic substitution in azasydnone-modified dinitroanisoles 500
不知道标题是什么 500
Indomethacinのヒトにおける経皮吸収 400
Phylogenetic study of the order Polydesmida (Myriapoda: Diplopoda) 370
热门求助领域 (近24小时)
化学 材料科学 医学 生物 工程类 有机化学 生物化学 物理 内科学 纳米技术 计算机科学 化学工程 复合材料 遗传学 基因 物理化学 催化作用 冶金 细胞生物学 免疫学
热门帖子
关注 科研通微信公众号,转发送积分 3976235
求助须知:如何正确求助?哪些是违规求助? 3520399
关于积分的说明 11203166
捐赠科研通 3256989
什么是DOI,文献DOI怎么找? 1798580
邀请新用户注册赠送积分活动 877738
科研通“疑难数据库(出版商)”最低求助积分说明 806516