Assumption-free analysis for amplification-based quantitative nucleic acid detection

The accurate detection and quantification of biological species that are rarely present but potentially devastating is of paramount importance for the life sciences, biosecurity, food safety, and environmental monitoring. Consequently, there has been significant interest in the sensitive and accurate detection of nucleic acids, leveraging both chemical and biological methods. Among these, quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) is regarded as the gold standard due to its sensitivity and precision in identifying specific nucleic acid targets. Despite the widespread adoption of qPCR for nucleic acid detection, the analysis of qPCR data typically depends on the use of calibrated standard curves and a threshold method to interpret signal measurements. In this study, we use a stochastic simulation to show the limitations of the threshold method due to its assumptions on amplification kinetics. We propose a new approach for the absolute quantification of nucleic acids that overcomes these limitations by reconstructing the efficiency profile across amplification cycles and using cumulative amplification folds to build a standard curve, thus avoiding the constant efficiency assumption. Our method, validated through experiments with nucleic acid amplification in the presence of potent inhibitors, demonstrates improved accuracy in quantifying nucleic acids, avoiding the systematic errors of the threshold method. This innovation enhances the reliability of nucleic acid quantification, especially where traditional methods struggle with kinetic variability.