多准则决策分析
决策分析
风险分析(工程)
运筹学
管理科学
环境科学
计算机科学
工程类
业务
数学
统计
作者
Rachel L. London,Juliane Glüge,Martin Scheringer
标识
DOI:10.1021/acs.est.4c03980
摘要
A comprehensive assessment of chemical alternatives (ACA) is necessary to avoid regrettable substitution. In a preceding study, an analysis of six hazard assessment methods found that none of them are fully aligned with the hazard assessment criteria of Article 57 of the European REACH regulation, indicating a need for a method better reflecting hazard assessment schemes in European chemical regulations. This paper presents a multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method for the ACA that takes the criteria of Article 57 of REACH into account. Investigated and presented are objective hierarchies, the aggregation of objectives, the curvature of the value functions, weights, and the introduction of a classification threshold. The MCDA-ACA method allows for the aggregation of hazards in such a way that poor performance in one hazard cannot be compensated for by good performance in another hazard. The method parameters were developed and tested using two data sets with the aim to classify chemical alternatives into acceptable (nonregrettable) and unacceptable (regrettable) alternatives according to the regulations set in Europe. The flexibility of the general method was explored by adapting the method to align with two hazard assessment schemes, Article 57 of REACH and GreenScreen. The results show that MCDA-ACA is so flexible and transparent that it can easily be adapted to various hazard assessment schemes.
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