The physics of financial networks

财务 业务 金融危机 财务建模 金融创新 金融工程
作者
Marco Bardoscia,Paolo Barucca,Stefano Battiston,Fabio Caccioli,Giulio Cimini,Diego Garlaschelli,Fabio Saracco,Tiziano Squartini,Guido Caldarelli
出处
期刊:Nature Reviews Physics [Nature Portfolio]
卷期号:3 (7): 490-507 被引量:7
标识
DOI:10.1038/s42254-021-00322-5
摘要

As the total value of the global financial market outgrew the value of the real economy, financial institutions created a global web of interactions that embodies systemic risks. Understanding these networks requires new theoretical approaches and new tools for quantitative analysis. Statistical physics contributed significantly to this challenge by developing new metrics and models for the study of financial network structure, dynamics, and stability and instability. In this Review, we introduce network representations originating from different financial relationships, including direct interactions such as loans, similarities such as co-ownership and higher-order relations such as contracts involving several parties (for example, credit default swaps) or multilayer connections (possibly extending to the real economy). We then review models of financial contagion capturing the diffusion and impact of shocks across each of these systems. We also discuss different notions of ‘equilibrium’ in economics and statistical physics, and how they lead to maximum entropy ensembles of graphs, providing tools for financial network inference and the identification of early-warning signals of system-wide instabilities. The interconnectedness of the financial system is increasing over time, and modelling it as a network captures key interactions between financial institutions. This Review surveys the most successful applications of statistical physics and complex networks to the description and understanding of financial networks.
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