Application of Joint Raw Moments-Based Probabilistic Power Flow Analysis for Hybrid AC/VSC-MTDC Power Systems

A joint raw moments-based analytical method (JRMAM) is first proposed herein to deal with probabilistic power flow (PPF) of hybrid AC/VSC-MTDC (Alternate Current/Voltage Source Control-Multiple Terminal Direct Current) power systems with integration of the offshore wind farms. JRMAM is able to overcome the challenges of some existing combined methods in estimating the high order moments of target outputs, and the dramatic time consumption of Monte Carlo simulation method (MCSM) in performing the PPF analysis particularly due to the complication of its deterministic power flow (DPF) model. The proposed JRMAM has a further superiority on efficiency, even compared to the joint cumulants-based analytical method (JCAM). As a preliminary step, discrete Fourier transformation matrix (DFTM) method is applied to calculate the joint raw moments of random inputs which are required by conducting JRMAM, and the probability density function (PDF) of outputs can be estimated by means of the Gram-Charlier expansions (GCE) based on the results obtained from JRMAM. Two modified IEEE test cases connected with DC subsystems through the VSC devices are adopted to verify the effectiveness and the scalability of JRMAM, where the result of MCSM is treated as a reference, and the properties of the hybrid AC/VSC-MTDC power system with these master-slave controlled VSCs are investigated for a further acceleration on PPF analysis.