Multimodal Ultrasound Imaging in Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System 4 Breast Lesions: A Prediction Model for Malignancy

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to develop, validate and test a prediction model for discriminating malignant from benign breast lesions using conventional ultrasound (US), US elastography of strain elastography and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS). The study included 454 patients with breast imaging-reporting and data system (BI-RADS) category 4 breast lesions identified on histologic examinations. Firstly, 228 breast lesions (cohort 1) were analyzed by logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors, and a breast malignancy prediction model was created. Secondly, the prediction model was validated in cohort 2 (84 patients) and tested in cohort 3 (142 patients) by using analysis of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Univariate regression indicated that age ≥40 y, taller than wide shape on US, early hyperenhancement on CEUS and enlargement of enhancement area on CEUS were independent risk factors for breast malignancy (all p < 0.05). The logistic regression equation was established as follows: p = 1/1+Exp∑[–5.066 + 3.125 x (if age ≥40 y) + 1.943 x (if taller than wide shape) + 1.479 x (if early hyperenhancement) + 4.167 x (if enlargement of enhancement area). The prediction model showed good discrimination performance with an AUC of 0.967 in cohort 1, 0.948 in cohort 2 and 0.920 in cohort 3. By using the prediction model to selectively downgrade category 4a lesions, the re-rated BI-RADS yield an AUC of 0.880 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.794–0.965) in cohort 2 and 0.870 (95% CI, 0.801–0.939) in cohort 3. The specificity increased from 0.0% (0/35) to 80.0% (28/35) without loss of sensitivity (from 100.0% to 95.9%, p = 0.153) in cohort 2. Similarly, the specificity increased from 0.0% (0/58) to 77.6% (45/58) without loss of sensitivity (from 100.0% to 96.4%, p = 0.081) in cohort 3. Multimodal US showed good diagnostic performance in predicting breast malignancy of BI-RADS category 4 lesions. Although the loss of sensitivity was existing, the addition of multimodal US to US BI-RADS could improve the specificity in BI-RADS category 4 lesions, which reduced unnecessary biopsies.