The role of inflammatory factors in mediating the causal effects of type 1 diabetes mellitus on idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: A two-step Mendelian randomization study

While recent studies suggested a potential causal link between type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) but not type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), the involved mechanism remains unclear. Here, using a Mendelian randomization (MR) approach, we verified the causal relationship between the two types of diabetes mellitus and IPF and investigated the possible role of inflammation in the association between diabetes mellitus and IPF. Based on genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary data of T1DM, T2DM, and IPF, the univariable MR, multivariable MR (MVMR), and mediation MR were successively used to analyze the causal relationship. Inverse variance weighted was used as the main method to infer the causal effect, together with a series of sensitivity analyses. The univariable MR showed that only T1DM increased the risk of IPF, and there was no significant causal relationship between T2DM and IPF. The MVMR further verified that there was an independent direct causal effect of T1DM on IPF. Further mediation analysis showed that this effect was partly mediated by increasing C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10 (CXCL10) and interleukin-12 subunit beta (IL-12B). In conclusion, T1DM is related to an increased risk of IPF. Notably, the causal effect was partially mediated by CXCL10 and IL-12B. Hence, monitoring T1DM patients may help in the early detection and prevention of IPF.