Natriuretic Peptides and Prognosis in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and High Risk for Cardiovascular Events

Prognosis of individuals with and without an established heart failure (HF) diagnosis and similarly elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels is not well known.CANVAS (Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study) trial participants were stratified according to baseline NT-proBNP quartiles and history of HF at baseline. Adjusted event rates per 1000 patient-years follow-up for hospitalizations for HF (HHF), cardiovascular mortality, and kidney events were assessed, and hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models.Of the 3507 participants with available NT-proBNP concentrations, 471 (13.4%) had history of HF. Incidence rate per 1000 patient-years for HHF increased across the NT-proBNP quartiles in patients with (0, 2.8, 13.4 and 40.1; P<0.001) and without (1.8, 3.1, 6.0 and 19.1; P<0.001) HF, with significantly higher risk in patients with HF compared to those without (with HF: quartile 3 HR 9.28 [1.15, 75.05]; P=0.04; without HF: quartile-4 HR 4.86, [2.08, 11.35]; P<0.001). Similar higher risk for kidney events was seen in HF patients (with HF: quartile-4 HR 6.94, [2.66, 18.08]; P=0.001; without HF: quartile-4th HR 4.85 [3.02, 7.80]; P=0.001). Similar trends were seen for cardiovascular mortality.Among patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular risk, an elevated NT-proBNP level was associated with worse HF and kidney outcomes in general regardless of history of HF, however presence of a clinical diagnosis of HF at baseline was associated with incrementally higher risk particularly in higher NT-proBNP quartiles.