Examination on the risk factors of cholangiocarcinoma: A Mendelian randomization study

Background: Several risk factors have been identified for CCA, however, whether such associations were causal remains unknown. Methods: Mendelian randomization (MR) has been applied to examine the causal relationship between 26 putative risk factors and CCA. The genetic variants for each risk factor were extracted from their corresponding genome-wide association study (GWAS) if they reached the genome-wide significance ( p -value < 5 × 10 −8 ). The genetic associations with CCA were obtained from the publicly available GWAS with the largest sample size. Mainly, inverse-variance weighted (IVW) has been adopted to estimate the causal effect on CCA. Both multivariable and mediation MR analyses were carried out to detect independent factors. Results: Three putative risk factors can causally elevate the risk of CCA after FDR correction, including liver fat content (LFC), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and cholelithiasis. The odds of CCA would increase per 1-SD increase in the liver fat content (LFC) (OR = 2.12 [1.66, 2.71]) and logOR of NAFLD. The genetic liability to cholelithiasis would increase the risk of CCA as well (OR = 2.17 [1.47, 3.20]). They were still significant in other methods. The multivariable MR analysis indicated that genetically-elevated LFC should increase the risk of CCA independently of cholelithiasis (OR = 1.88 [1.39, 2.55]). In the mediation MR analysis, the indirect effect was not significant when treating cholelithiasis as the mediator (indirect OR = 0.95 [0.85, 1.07]). Conclusion: This MR study identified that gallstone and liver fat accumulation are two independent risk factors of CCA, suggesting two modifiable ways of preventing CCA.