Assessing TGF-β Prognostic Model Predictions for Chemotherapy Response and Oncogenic Role of FKBP1A in Liver Cancer

Background: The Transforming Growth Factor-Beta (TGF-β) signaling pathway plays a crucial role in the pathogenesis of diseases. This study aimed to identify differentially expressed TGF-β-related genes in liver cancer patients and to correlate these findings with clinical features and immune signatures. Methods: The TCGA-STAD and LIRI-JP cohorts were utilized for a comprehensive analysis of TGF-β- related genes. Differential gene expression, functional enrichment, survival analysis, and machine learning techniques were employed to develop a prognostic model based on a TGF-β-related gene signature (TGFBRS). Results: We developed a prognostic model for liver cancer based on the expression levels of nine TGF-β- related genes. The model indicates that higher TGFBRS values are associated with poorer prognosis, higher tumor grades, more advanced pathological stages, and resistance to chemotherapy. Additionally, the TGFBRS-High subtype was characterized by elevated levels of immune-suppressive cells and increased expression of immune checkpoint molecules. Using a Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) machine learning approach, the FKBP1A gene was identified as playing a significant role in liver cancer. Notably, knocking down FKBP1A significantly inhibited the proliferation and metastatic capabilities of liver cancer cells both in vitro and in vivo. Conclusion: Our study highlights the potential of TGFBRS in predicting chemotherapy responses and in shaping the tumor immune microenvironment in liver cancer. The results identify FKBP1A as a promising molecular target for developing preventive and therapeutic strategies against liver cancer. Our findings could potentially guide personalized treatment strategies to improve the prognosis of liver cancer patients.