Resurgence in paradise: decoding the patterns of arrivals with different trip purposes in Hawaii’s post-pandemic tourism recovery

This study provides a comprehensive investigation into the resurgence of Hawaii’s tourism industry following the COVID-19 pandemic, utilizing Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average models with intervention analysis. We conducted an in-depth analysis of Hawaii’s tourism data, encompassing the volume of domestic arrivals and diverse travel purposes before and after the pandemic, subsequently estimating the recovery timeframe for each travel purpose. Enriching theoretical discourse and practical applications, this study furnishes a nuanced understanding of Hawaii’s tourism resurgence while concurrently establishing a framework for modelling, predicting, and planning tourism recovery in the face of future global crises akin to the recent pandemic.