Evaluation of Progression-Free Survival as a Surrogate End Point in Primary CNS Lymphoma: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose: To evaluate progression-free survival (PFS) as early surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) in primary CNS lymphoma (PCNSL). Methods: PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Central Library were searched up to 7 June 2022. Trial-level analyses were performed by weighted linear regression of logarithmic hazard ratios for PFS and OS. Treatment arm-level analyses were performed between PFS rates and 3- or 5-year OS rates. Results: 1471 PCNSL patients in nine randomized control trials were included. PFS was associated with OS (r = 0.750; 95% CI: 0.228–0.937). Strong linear correlations existed between 1-, 2- and 3-year PFS and 3-year OS (r = 0.896–0.928), moderate or weak correlations existed between 3- to 6-month PFS and 3-year OS, 3-month to 5-year PFS and 5-year OS. Conclusion: Short-term PFS can validly substitute for long-term OS in PCNSL.