Clinical assessment of AF pattern is poorly correlated with AF burden and post ablation outcomes: A CIRCA-DOSE sub-study

Contemporary guidelines recommend that atrial fibrillation (AF) be classified into paroxysmal and persistent AF based on clinical assessment, with these categorizations forming the basis of therapeutic recommendations. While pragmatic, clinical assessment may introduce misclassification errors, which may impact treatment decisions. We sought to determine the relationship between AF classification, baseline AF burden, and post-ablation arrhythmia outcomes. The current study is a sub-analysis of a prospective, parallel-group, multicenter, single-blinded randomized clinical trial. All 346 patients enrolled in CIRCA-DOSE received an implantable cardiac monitor a median of 72 days prior to ablation. AF was classified as low burden paroxysmal, high burden paroxysmal, or persistent based on clinical assessment prior to device implantation. Prior to ablation patients were re-classified using the same definitions based on device monitoring data. Correlation between classifications, AF burden, and post-ablation arrhythmia outcomes were assessed. There was poor agreement between clinical and device-based AF classification (Cohen's kappa: 0.192). AF classification derived from pre-ablation continuous monitoring reflected baseline and post-ablation AF burden with greater accuracy and with less overlap between the AF classes (P < 0.01 for all categorical comparisons). Patients objectively classified as “Low Burden” paroxysmal by continuous monitoring data had significantly greater freedom from recurrent AF/AT/AFL compared to those classified as “High Burden” paroxysmal (hazard ratio [HR] 0.57 for AF/AT/AFL recurrence) or persistent AF (HR 0.19 for AF/AT/AFL recurrence). Classification of AF pattern based on pre-ablation continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring better predicted AF burden and freedom from recurrent AF post ablation. Despite the use of standardized definitions, classification of AF based on clinical assessment did not predict baseline AF burden, post ablation AF burden, or freedom from recurrent AF post ablation. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01913522.