Radiomics and deep learning features of pericoronary adipose tissue on non-contrast computerized tomography for predicting non-calcified plaques

Background Inflammation of coronary arterial plaque is considered a key factor in the development of coronary heart disease. Early the plaque detection and timely treatment of the atherosclerosis could effectively reduce the risk of cardiovascular events. However, there is no study combining radiomics with deep learning techniques to predict non-calcified plaques (NCP) in coronary artery at present. Objective To investigate the value of combination of radiomics and deep learning features based on non-contrast computerized tomography (CT) scans of pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT), integrating with clinical risk factors of patients, in identifying coronary inflammation and predicting the presence of NCP. Methods The clinical and imaging data of 353 patients were analyzed. The region of interest (ROI) of PCAT was manually outlined on non-contrast CT scan images, like coronary CT calcium score sequential images, then the radiomics and deep learning features in ROIs were extracted respectively. In training set (Center 1), after performing feature selection, radiomics and deep learning feature models were established, meanwhile, clinical models were built. Finally, combined models were developed out via integrating clinical, radiomics, and deep learning features. The predictive performance of the four feature model groups (clinical, radiomics, deep learning, and three combination) was assessed by seven different machine learning models through generation of receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and the calculation of area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Furthermore, the predictive performance of each model was validated in an external validation set (Center 2). Results For the single model comparation, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) showed the best performance among the clinical model group in the validation set. And Random Forest (RF) exhibited the best indicative performance not only among the radiomics feature group but also in the deep learning feature model group. What's more, among the combined model group, RF still displayed the best predictive performance, with the value of AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy in the validation set are 0.963, 0.857, 0.929, and 0.905. Conclusion The RF model in the combined model group based on non-contrast CT scan PCAT can predict the presence of NCP more accurately and has the potential for preliminary screening of the NCP.