Association of depression trajectories and subsequent hypertension and cardiovascular disease: findings from the CHARLS cohort

Objectives: Little evidence regarding the associations of longitudinal trajectories of depressive symptoms and incident hypertension and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). This study aimed to evaluate the relationships between trajectories of depressive symptoms and new-onset hypertension and CVDs among the Chinese middle-aged and older general population. Methods: This prospective cohort study used data from a nationally representative sample aged older than 45 years of Chinese residents recruited for the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The depressive symptoms were assessed using the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D-10). The outcomes of the study were new-onset hypertension and CVDs. Results: A total of 6071 participants were included in the final analysis and four trajectories of CES-D-10 were identified, including low-stable, medium-decreasing, medium-increasing, and high-stable trajectories. Until 2018, 1668 (27.5%) and 959 (15.8%) participants were newly diagnosed with hypertension and CVDs, respectively. Compared with participants with a low-stable trajectory, individuals with other three trajectories had a significantly higher risk of hypertension and CVDs. The results remained robust in several sensitivity analyses. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) showed an S-shaped relationship between the mean CES-D-10 score and hypertension/CVDs ( P for nonlinear <0.001). Hypertension partially mediated the association between CES-D-10 and CVDs. Conclusion: Among Chinese aged older than 45 years’ general adults, depressive symptoms were prevalent and associated with higher risks of incident hypertension and CVDs. Depressive symptoms mediated the development of CVDs by promoting hypertension progression. Immediate efforts are needed to improve depression management in China to further prevent CVDs.