泊松回归
分布滞后
百分位
表观温度
广义加性模型
相对湿度
效果修正
人口学
医学
热浪
环境科学
置信区间
环境卫生
地理
气象学
气候变化
内科学
数学
统计
生物
人口
生态学
社会学
作者
Dung Phung,Hyewon Lee,Phong K. Thai,Shannon Rutherford,Xiaoming Wang,Minh Nguyen,Cuong Manh,Nga Huy Nguyen,Noore Alam,Cordia Chu
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.envpol.2015.06.004
摘要
This study examined the short-term effects of temperature on cardiovascular hospital admissions (CHA) in the largest tropical city in Southern Vietnam. We applied Poisson time-series regression models with Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model (DLNM) to examine the temperature-CHA association while adjusting for seasonal and long-term trends, day of the week, holidays, and humidity. The threshold temperature and added effects of heat waves were also evaluated. The exposure-response curve of temperature-CHA reveals a J-shape relationship with a threshold temperature of 29.6 °C. The delayed effects temperature-CHA lasted for a week (0-5 days). The overall risk of CHA increased 12.9% (RR, 1.129; 95%CI, 0.972-1.311) during heatwave events, which were defined as temperature ≥ the 99th percentile for ≥2 consecutive days. The modification roles of gender and age were inconsistent and non-significant in this study. An additional prevention program that reduces the risk of cardiovascular disease in relation to high temperatures should be developed.
科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI