A new perspective in radon risk assessment: Mapping the geological hazard as a first step to define the collective radon risk exposure

危害 地理空间分析 脆弱性(计算) 人口 风险评估 环境科学 多元统计 风险分析(工程) 地理 地图学 环境卫生 计算机科学 统计 业务 数学 医学 化学 物理 计算机安全 有机化学 量子力学
作者
Eleonora Benà,Giancarlo Ciotoli,Eric Petermann,Peter Bossew,Livio Ruggiero,Luca Verdi,Paul B Huber,Federico Mori,Claudio Mazzoli,Raffaele Sassi
出处
期刊:Science of The Total Environment [Elsevier]
卷期号:912: 169569-169569
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169569
摘要

Radon is a radioactive gas and a major source of ionizing radiation exposure for humans. Consequently, it can pose serious health threats when it accumulates in confined environments. In Europe, recent legislation has been adopted to address radon exposure in dwellings; this law established national reference levels and guidelines for defining Radon Priority Areas (RPAs). This study focuses on mapping the Geogenic Radon Potential (GRP) as a foundation for identifying RPAs and, consequently, assessing radon risk in indoor environments. Here, GRP is proposed as a hazard indicator, indicating the potential for radon to enter buildings from geological sources. Various approaches, including multivariate geospatial analysis and the application of artificial intelligence algorithms, have been utilised to generate continuous spatial maps of GRP based on point measurements. In this study, we employed a robust multivariate machine learning algorithm (Random Forest) to create the GRP map of the central sector of the Pusteria Valley, incorporating other variables from census tracts such as land use as a vulnerability factor, and population as an exposure factor to create the risk map. The Pusteria Valley in northern Italy was chosen as the pilot site due to its well-known geological, structural, and geochemical features. The results indicate that high Rn risk areas are associated with high GRP values, as well as residential areas and high population density. Starting with the GRP map (e.g., Rn hazard), a new geological-based definition of the RPAs is proposed as fundamental tool for mapping Collective Radon Risk Areas in line with the main objective of European regulations, which is to differentiate them from Individual Risk Areas.
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