Factors affecting the adoption and use of urban air mobility

多项式logistic回归 时间范围 离散选择 感知 技术接受模型 支付意愿 时间价值 服务(商务) 业务 计算机科学 营销 运输工程 计量经济学 经济 工程类 心理学 微观经济学 可用性 神经科学 机器学习 人机交互 财务 旅行时间
作者
Christelle Al Haddad,Emmanouil Chaniotakis,Anna Straubinger,Kay Plötner,Constantinos Antoniou
出处
期刊:Transportation Research Part A-policy and Practice [Elsevier]
卷期号:132: 696-712 被引量:210
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.tra.2019.12.020
摘要

Abstract Technological advances have recently led to the development of urban air mobility (UAM), an alternative transportation mode with several concepts including vehicles operated by on-demand fully-automated vertical take-off and landing aircraft (VTOL) for intra-city passenger transportation. However, despite a growing interest in UAM, understanding users’ perceptions to it remains limited. This research aims to identify and quantify the factors affecting the adoption and use of UAM, based on relevant tools from the literature, such as recurring factors in studies on aerial vehicle concepts, ground autonomous vehicles, but also acceptance models, such as the Technology Acceptance Model by Davis et al. (1989). A stated-preference survey was developed to assess the perception of users in terms of adoption time horizon, including options such as the first six years of the service’s implementation, “unsure”, and “never”. The obtained results were evaluated using exploratory factor analyses, and the specification and estimation of suitable discrete choice models, multinomial logit models (MNLs) and ordered logit models (OLMs), with adoption time horizon as dependent variable. Findings revealed the importance of safety and trust, affinity to automation, data concerns, social attitude, and socio-demographics for adoption. Factors, such as the value of time savings, the perception of automation costs, and service reliability, were also found to be highly influential. There was also an indication that skeptical respondents, i.e. answering “unsure”, had a behavior similar to late and non-adopters, i.e. adoption time horizon higher than six years or answering “never”. The summarized results were represented in an extended Technology Acceptance Model for urban air mobility, and provided insights for policymakers and industrial stakeholders.
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