Dominant role of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation in the tipping point of maximum and minimum temperatures over inner East Asia

东亚 遥相关 大西洋年代际振荡 气候学 北半球 反气旋 环境科学 北极涛动 地理 北大西洋涛动 地质学 厄尔尼诺南方涛动 考古 中国
作者
Shuyang Guo,Xiaodan Guan,Tonghui Gu,Xiaohan Shen
出处
期刊:International Journal of Climatology [Wiley]
卷期号:43 (4): 1886-1897
标识
DOI:10.1002/joc.7951
摘要

Abstract Despite unprecedented heatwave events reported in the past two decades over inner East Asia, the maximum and minimum temperatures of Tmax and Tmin do not always exhibit continuous increasing. After drastic increases in Tmax and Tmin appeared over inner East Asia from 1982, a decreasing trend occurred around 1998, which was closely associated with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). During 1950–2014, the correlation between Tmax (Tmin) and AMO at the decadal time scale reached 0.70 (0.83); and 65% (79%) variance of the decadal variability in Tmax (Tmin) was explained by the AMO and three other classic oceanic modes; the contribution of the AMO was up to 82% (91%) in the decadal modulated oscillation. The declines of Tmin and Tmax synchronized with the downward swing of the AMO since the late‐1990 s, which was because the AMO could affect the vertical motion and wind anomalies of inner East Asia through the cyclonic‐anticyclonic teleconnection wave train in the mid‐latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. The results of composite analysis show that during the positive phase of the AMO, a local ascending motion was enhanced over inner East Asia and a large‐scale abnormal high was found north of East Asia in favour of cold air intrusion. Meanwhile, the start of growing season was delayed by the positive phase of the AMO over the northern part of inner East Asia due to the high sensitivity of spring phenology to the Tmin controlled by the AMO.
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