期刊:Nucleation and Atmospheric Aerosols日期:2015-01-01
标识
DOI:10.1063/1.4930679
摘要
ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) is an oceanic anomaly and atmospheric phenomenon in equatorial pacific indicated by Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). It describes the air pressure between Darwin (Australia) and Tahiti (Southern Pacific Ocean). ENSO occurs at irregular interval between 3 and 7 years causing global climate system variation. Considering this event occurs periodically, it might be triggered by the 11-years of solar cycle as an energy source. In this case, the solar activity is represented by the variability of the periodical Sunspot number (R). Changes in the rate of heating and the amount of solar energy package is presumed to be the cause of the ENSO phenomenon. In this work, we use the data of Sunspot number (R) and SOI from 1870 to 2013. Derived from those data, spectral analysis of the output energy package is analyzed by using WWZ (Weighted Wavelet Z-Transform). Then we correlate with the periodicity and condition of ENSO phenomenon to obtain the prediction of occurrence interval.