可预测性
物理
背景(考古学)
统计物理学
地震学
地质学
古生物学
量子力学
作者
Jean M. Carlson,J. S. Langer,Bruce E. Shaw
标识
DOI:10.1103/revmodphys.66.657
摘要
The authors present an overview of ongoing studies of the rich dynamical behavior of the uniform, deterministic Burridge-Knopoff model of an earthquake fault, discussing the model's behavior in the context of current seismology. The topics considered include: (1) basic properties of the model, such as the distinction between small and large events and the magnitude vs frequency distribution; (2) dynamics of individual events, including dynamical selection of rupture propagation speeds; (3) generalizations of the model to more realistic, higher-dimensional models; and (4) studies of predictability, in which artificial catalogs generated by the model are used to test and determine the limitations of pattern recognition algorithms used in seismology.
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