CT-derived body composition associated with lung cancer recurrence after surgery

Objectives To evaluate the impact of body composition derived from computed tomography (CT) scans on postoperative lung cancer recurrence. Methods We created a retrospective cohort of 363 lung cancer patients who underwent lung resections and had verified recurrence, death, or at least 5-year follow-up without either event. Five key body tissues and ten tumor features were automatically segmented and quantified based on preoperative whole-body CT scans (acquired as part of a PET-CT scan) and chest CT scans, respectively. Time-to-event analysis accounting for the competing event of death was performed to analyze the impact of body composition, tumor features, clinical information, and pathological features on lung cancer recurrence after surgery. The hazard ratio (HR) of normalized factors was used to assess individual significance univariately and in the combined models. The 5-fold cross-validated time-dependent receiver operating characteristics analysis, with an emphasis on the area under the 3-year ROC curve (AUC), was used to characterize the ability to predict lung cancer recurrence. Results Body tissues that showed a standalone potential to predict lung cancer recurrence include visceral adipose tissue (VAT) volume (HR = 0.88, p = 0.047), subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) density (HR = 1.14, p = 0.034), inter-muscle adipose tissue (IMAT) volume (HR = 0.83, p = 0.002), muscle density (HR = 1.27, p < 0.001), and total fat volume (HR = 0.89, p = 0.050). The CT-derived muscular and tumor features significantly contributed to a model including clinicopathological factors, resulting in an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.75–0.83) to predict recurrence at 3 years. Conclusions Body composition features (e.g., muscle density, or muscle and inter-muscle adipose tissue volumes) can improve the prediction of recurrence when combined with clinicopathological factors.