三角洲
城市蔓延
三角洲
大洪水
气候变化
环境科学
地理
水资源管理
水文学(农业)
自然地理学
海洋学
城市规划
地质学
考古
工程类
土木工程
岩土工程
航空航天工程
作者
Shupu Wu,Xudong Zhou,Johan Reyns,Dai Yamazaki,Jie Yin,Xiuzhen Li
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174703
摘要
River deltas, such as the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta, are highly vulnerable to flooding, exacerbated by intense human activities and rapid urban growth. This study explores the evolution of urban flood risks in the GBM delta under the combined impacts of climate change and urban expansion. Unlike traditional assessments that focus on a single flood source, we consider multiple sources-coastal, fluvial, and pluvial. Our findings indicate that future urban expansion will significantly increase flood exposure, with a substantial rise in flood risk from all sources by the end of this century. Climate change is the main driver of increased coastal flood risks, while urban growth primarily amplifies fluvial, and pluvial flood risks. This highlights the urgent need for adaptive urban planning strategies to mitigate future flooding and support sustainable urban development. The extreme high emissions future scenario (SSP5-8.5) shows the largest urban growth and consequent flood risk, emphasizing the necessity for preemptive measures to mitigate future urban flooding. Our study provides crucial insights into flood risk dynamics in delta environments, aiding policymakers and planners in developing resilience strategies against escalating flood threats.
科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI